The effects of different parameterizations of Markov-switching in a CIR model of bond pricing
Driffill, John and Kenc, T. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2009) The effects of different parameterizations of Markov-switching in a CIR model of bond pricing. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 13 (1), ISSN 1081-1826.
We examine several discrete-time versions of the Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (CIR) model for the term structure, in which the short rate is subject to discrete shifts. Our empirical analysis suggests that careful consideration of which parameters of the short-term interest rate equation that are allowed to be switched is crucial. Ignoring this issue may result in a parameterization that produces no improvement (in terms of bond pricing) relative to the standard CIR model, even when there are clear breaks in the data.
|School:||Birkbeck Schools and Departments > School of Business, Economics & Informatics > Economics, Mathematics and Statistics|
|Research Centre:||Applied Macroeconomics, Birkbeck Centre for|
|Date Deposited:||28 Jan 2011 14:32|
|Last Modified:||06 Dec 2016 14:49|
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