BIROn - Birkbeck Institutional Research Online

    Human development and the demography of secularisation in global perspective

    Kaufmann, Eric P. (2008) Human development and the demography of secularisation in global perspective. Interdisciplinary Journal of Research on Religion 4 , pp. 1-37. ISSN 1556-3723.

    [img] Text
    2150.pdf - Submitted Version
    Restricted to Repository staff only

    Download (443kB) | Request a copy

    Abstract

    Sociologists of religion often overlook the role of demography. An exception to this rule is found in the work of Pippa Norris and Ronald Inglehart, who link religious decline to human development and the demographic transition. However, their individual-level thesis is based on bivariate trends, with multivariate analysis limited to the aggregate level. In this article, I test their thesis at the individual level using data from the World Values Surveys across a wide range of countries. Analysis of aggregate trends shows that measures of human development that appear significant in bivariate correlations do not survive multivariate, time-series scrutiny. Moreover, I deploy multilevel analysis to explain why aggregate trends provide a misleading picture of how rising national education and income levels affect individuals’ religious beliefs. The results cast the developmentalist version of the secularization thesis into doubt. Instead, I suggest that religious belief becomes deregulated and increasingly varied in modern societies as religiosity takes on a self-conscious, rather than taken-for-granted, character. The demographic advantage that religious populations have suggests that the future of secularization, far from confirming a secular teleology, remains indeterminate.

    Metadata

    Item Type: Article
    Additional Information: Full-text locked pending publisher permission
    School: Birkbeck Schools and Departments > School of Social Sciences, History and Philosophy > Politics
    Depositing User: Administrator
    Date Deposited: 13 Jan 2011 15:57
    Last Modified: 17 Apr 2013 12:33
    URI: http://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/2150

    Statistics

    Downloads
    Activity Overview
    1Download
    133Hits

    Additional statistics are available via IRStats2.

    Archive Staff Only (login required)

    Edit/View Item Edit/View Item