Bove, Vincenzo and Elia, L. and Smith, Ron P. (2014) The relationship between panel and synthetic control of the effect of civil war. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
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Abstract
We examine the relationship between the case-study, synthetic control and large- N panel-data approaches using the costs of con ict as an example. In particular, we show that effects estimated from panel data models and effects estimated by the comparison of a treated case with a synthetic control are closely related. We then illustrate the similarities by studying the impact of civil war on the level and growth rate of GDP and discuss how to overcome some of the methodological challenges involved in quantifying the economic cost of war. We find that the incidence of internal con icts has an economically significant one-off negative effect on the GDP level, as well as a negative effect on the growth rate of the GPD.
Metadata
| Item Type: | Monograph (Working Paper) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | BCAM 1406; ISSN 1745-8587 |
| Keyword(s) / Subject(s): | Civil war, Counterfactual, Economic growth, Panel analysis, Synthetic control method |
| School: | Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School |
| Research Centres and Institutes: | Applied Macroeconomics, Birkbeck Centre for, Innovation Management Research, Birkbeck Centre for |
| Depositing User: | Administrator |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Mar 2019 16:15 |
| Last Modified: | 02 Aug 2023 17:49 |
| URI: | https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/26601 |
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