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A social forecast revisited

Mitton, Roger and Willmott, Michael (2005) A social forecast revisited. Futures 37 (1), pp. 39-50. ISSN 0016-3287.


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In 1971, the authors produced a 30-year forecast of leisure in the UK. In 2001 they obtained survey data for comparison with the forecasts. The paper presents the original forecasts and describes the methods used to produce them, assesses their accuracy in the light of the survey data, and concludes with some reflections on the underlying forecasting methodology and on changes in leisure patterns.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: The full text attached differs slightly from the published version. The latter contains some errors.
School or Research Centre: Birkbeck Schools and Research Centres > School of Business, Economics & Informatics > Computer Science and Information Systems
Depositing User: Administrator
Date Deposited: 27 Mar 2006
Last Modified: 17 Apr 2013 12:32

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