Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: new evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries
Petrella, Ivan and Santoro, E. (2012) Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: new evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 36 (5), pp. 779-794. ISSN 0165-1889.
This paper deals with the analysis of price-setting in U.S. manufacturing industries. Recent studies have heavily criticized the ability of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) to fit aggregate inflation [see, e.g., Rudd and Whelan, 2006, Can Rational Expectations Sticky-Price Models Explain Inflation Dynamics?, American Economic Review, vol. 96(1), pp. 303-320]. We challenge this evidence, showing that forward-looking behavior as implied by the New Keynesian model of price-setting is widely supported at the sectoral level. In fact, current and expected future values of the income share of intermediate goods emerge as an effective driver of inflation dynamics. Unlike alternative proxies for the forcing variable, the cost of intermediate goods presents dynamic properties in line with the predictions of the New Keynesian theory.
|Additional Information:||Newer version of http://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/5957|
|Keyword(s) / Subject(s):||New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Aggregation, Sectoral Data, Intermediate Goods|
|School:||Birkbeck Schools and Departments > School of Business, Economics & Informatics > Economics, Mathematics and Statistics|
|Date Deposited:||01 Feb 2012 17:38|
|Last Modified:||17 Apr 2013 12:22|
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