April 2004

Garratt, Anthony and Vahey, S.P. (2004) "Last quarter’s GDP growth rate revised up by O.3pp": a typical revision? Statistics Commission Report 17 (3), pp. 11-12.

November 2004

Garratt, Anthony and Robertson, D. and Wright, Stephen (2004) Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

Garratt, Anthony and Vahey, S.P. (2004) UK real-time macro data characteristics. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

April 2005

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Mise, E. and Shields, K. (2005) Real time representations of the output gap. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

2006

Garratt, Anthony and Robertson, D. and Wright, Stephen (2006) Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals. Journal of Applied Econometrics 21 (4), pp. 521-542. ISSN 0883-7252.

February 2006

Garratt, Anthony and Vahey, S.P. (2006) UK real-time macro data characteristics. The Economic Journal 116 (509), F119-F135. ISSN 0013-0133.

July 2006

Garratt, Anthony and Koop, G. and Vahey, S.P. (2006) Forecasting substantial data revisions in the presence of model uncertainty. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

August 2006

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Mise, E. and Shields, K. (2006) Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of trend uncertainty. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

3 August 2006

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Pesaran, M.H. and Shin, Y. (2006) Global and national macroeconometric modelling: a long-run structural approach. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780199296859.

November 2006

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. (2006) Investing under model uncertainty: decision based evaluation of exchange rate and interest rate forecasts in the US, UK and Japan. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

July 2007

Garratt, Anthony and Koop, G. and Mise, E. and Vahey, S.P. (2007) Real-time prediction with UK monetary aggregates in the presence of model uncertainty. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.

July 2008

Garratt, Anthony and Koop, G. and Vahey, S.P. (2008) Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the presence of model uncertainty. The Economic Journal 118 (530), pp. 1128-1144. ISSN 0013-0133.

October 2008

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Mise, E. and Shields, K. (2008) Real-time representations of the output gap. Review of Economics & Statistics 90 (4), pp. 792-904. ISSN 0034-6535.

January 2009

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Mise, E. and Shields, K. (2009) Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty. International Journal of Forecasting 25 (1), pp. 81-102. ISSN 0169-2070.

September 2009

Garratt, Anthony and Mitchell, J. and Vahey, S.P. and Wakerly, E.C. (2009) Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble phillips curves. Working Paper. Birkbeck College, University of London, London, UK.

October 2009

Garratt, Anthony and Mitchell, J. and Vahey, S.P. (2009) Measuring output gap uncertainty. Working Paper. Birkbeck College, University of London, London, UK.

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. and Shields, K. (2009) Measuring the natural output gap using actual and expected output data. Working Paper. Wiley-Blackwell, London, UK.

Garratt, Anthony and Koop, G. and Mise, E. and Vahey, S.P. (2009) Real-time prediction with U.K. monetary aggregates in the presence of model uncertainty. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 27 (4), pp. 480-491. ISSN 0735-0015.

April 2010

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, K. (2010) Investing under model uncertainty: decision based evaluation of exchange rate forecasts in the US, UK and Japan. Journal of International Money & Finance 29 (3), pp. 403-422. ISSN 0261-5606.

January 2011

Garratt, Anthony and Mitchell, J. and Vahey, S.P. and Wakerly, E.C. (2011) Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 22 (1), pp. 77-87. ISSN 1062-9408.