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Are world natural gas markets moving toward integration? Evidence from the HH and NBP forward curves

Geman, Hélyette and Liu, B. (2015) Are world natural gas markets moving toward integration? Evidence from the HH and NBP forward curves. Journal of Energy Markets 8 (2), pp. 47-65. ISSN 1756-3607.

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Abstract

We present the outlook of the world gas markets in 2014 and investigate whether the US and UK gas markets are moving toward integration. In order to do this, we classically study the cointegration of the Henry Hub and National Balancing Point indexes, but we also introduce the novel concept of distances between forward curves and propose three of them. From all these perspectives, and by analyzing a database covering the period January 2005 to April 2014, we conclude that no convergence has yet occurred between these two markets.

Metadata

Item Type: Article
School: Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
Research Centres and Institutes: Commodities Finance Centre
Depositing User: Helyette Geman
Date Deposited: 26 May 2016 13:44
Last Modified: 09 Aug 2025 10:27
URI: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/15333

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