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    Candidate localness and voter choice in the 2015 General Election in England

    Evans, J. and Arzheimer, K. and Campbell, Rosie and Cowley, P. (2017) Candidate localness and voter choice in the 2015 General Election in England. Political Geography 59 , pp. 61-71. ISSN 0962-6298.

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    Abstract

    Previous research has demonstrated a significant relationship between the geographical distance from a voter to a candidate and the likelihood of the voter choosing that candidate. However, models of this relationship may be mis- or under-specified, by not taking into account voters’ perceptions of distance or not controlling for other possible factors related to a candidate’s ‘localness’ which may influence vote choice. Using a two-wave panel survey carried out during the 2015 UK General Election, this article tests a more fully specified alternative-specific multinomial probit model of candidate-voter distance. We show that, although the effect size is smaller than in previous tests, candidate-voter distance mattered in the 2015 General Election, an effect that is robust to controls not only for party support and incumbency, as previous research had demonstrated, but also to measures of voter information, candidate presence and marginality. We also find that contiguity mattered: candidates living in non-neighbouring constituencies have a lower likelihood of vote than those living in neighbouring constituencies or in the constituency itself.

    Metadata

    Item Type: Article
    Keyword(s) / Subject(s): Voting, England, Spatial location, Candidates, Voter information
    School: Birkbeck Schools and Departments > School of Social Sciences, History and Philosophy > Politics
    Depositing User: Rosie Campbell
    Date Deposited: 01 Mar 2017 16:22
    Last Modified: 27 Jul 2019 15:56
    URI: http://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/18239

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