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    Serial dependence in ARCH-models as measured by tail dependence coefficients

    Brummelhuis, Raymond (2008) Serial dependence in ARCH-models as measured by tail dependence coefficients. Extremes 11 (2), pp. 167-201. ISSN 1386-1999.

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    Serial dependence in non-linear time series cannot always be reliably quantified using linear autocorrelation. We do a detailed study of serial dependence in an ARCH(1) process from the point of view of the lower tail dependence coefficient and certain generalisations thereof. Our results are relevant for estimating probabilities of consecutive value-at-risk violations in GARCH models.


    Item Type: Article
    Keyword(s) / Subject(s): ARCH models, serial dependence, Copulas, lower tail dependence, risk management, value-at-risk
    School: Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
    Depositing User: Administrator
    Date Deposited: 01 Feb 2011 11:36
    Last Modified: 02 Aug 2023 16:51


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