Equilibrium cost overruns

Chen, Y. and Smith, Ron P. (2001) Equilibrium cost overruns. Annals of Economics and Finance 2 (2), pp. 401-414. ISSN 1529-7373.

Full text not available from this repository.

Official URL: http://aeconf.com/contents.htm

Abstract

Cost overruns are endemic in military procurement projects and pervasive in other areas. This paper studies a model in which the apparent cost overruns arise not as systematic expectational errors but as equilibrium phenomena. The possibility of renegotiating payments when cost overruns occur results in firms bidding below their true estimate of expected project costs. This can cause the initial price for a project to be consistently lower than its expected cost, and hence the persistence of cost overruns in equilibrium. The tradeoff between selecting the lowest cost source and inducing efficient investment effort is explored.

Metadata

Item Type:	Article
School:	Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
Depositing User:	Sarah Hall
Date Deposited:	03 Nov 2020 16:18
Last Modified:	02 Aug 2023 18:05
URI:	https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/41128

Statistics

Archive Staff Only (login required)

Edit/View Item