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    Equilibrium cost overruns

    Chen, Y. and Smith, Ron P. (2001) Equilibrium cost overruns. Annals of Economics and Finance 2 (2), pp. 401-414. ISSN 1529-7373.

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    Abstract

    Cost overruns are endemic in military procurement projects and pervasive in other areas. This paper studies a model in which the apparent cost overruns arise not as systematic expectational errors but as equilibrium phenomena. The possibility of renegotiating payments when cost overruns occur results in firms bidding below their true estimate of expected project costs. This can cause the initial price for a project to be consistently lower than its expected cost, and hence the persistence of cost overruns in equilibrium. The tradeoff between selecting the lowest cost source and inducing efficient investment effort is explored.

    Metadata

    Item Type: Article
    School: School of Business, Economics & Informatics > Economics, Mathematics and Statistics
    Depositing User: Sarah Hall
    Date Deposited: 03 Nov 2020 16:18
    Last Modified: 30 Nov 2021 11:23
    URI: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/41128

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