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    Shipping markets and freight rates: an analysis of the Baltic Dry Index

    Geman, Hélyette and Smith, William O. (2012) Shipping markets and freight rates: an analysis of the Baltic Dry Index. Journal of Alternative Investments 15 (1), pp. 98-109. ISSN 1520-3255.

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    Shipping, although a crucial component of the transportation of commodities worldwide, is hardly present in the finance literature at this point. The first and foremost goal of this paper is to describe and explain from an economic perspective the key features of shipping markets; the second one is to analyze the behavior of freight rates, which define the final cost of an imported commodity. We focus on the major index, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) and propose some diffusion models able to capture the unique features of its trajectories, namely large swings and continuity. Their performance is exhibited on a database covering the period 1988-2010. Such spot models should facilitate the growth of the market of freight rates options, a safe hedging instrument for farmers and cooperatives that ship their grains to distant destinations.


    Item Type: Article
    Keyword(s) / Subject(s): shipping markets, freight rates dynamics, spot models, agricultural commodities
    School: Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
    Research Centres and Institutes: Commodities Finance Centre
    Depositing User: Mr William O Smith
    Date Deposited: 05 Jul 2012 07:57
    Last Modified: 02 Aug 2023 16:57

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