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    Sovereign credit ratings and financial markets linkages: application to European data

    Afonso, A. and Furceri, D. and Gomes, Pedro (2012) Sovereign credit ratings and financial markets linkages: application to European data. Journal of International Money and Finance 31 (3), pp. 606-638. ISSN 0261-5606.

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    Abstract

    We use EU sovereign bond yield and CDS spreads daily data to carry out an event study analysis on the reaction of government yield spreads before and after announcements from rating agencies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch). Our results show significant responses of government bond yield spreads to changes in rating notations and outlook, particularly in the case of negative announcements. Announcements are not anticipated at 1-2 months horizon but there is bi-directional causality between ratings and spreads within 1-2 weeks; spillover effects especially among EMU countries and from lower rated countries to higher rated countries; and persistence effects for recently downgraded countries.

    Metadata

    Item Type: Article
    Keyword(s) / Subject(s): credit ratings, sovereign yields, rating agencies
    School: Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
    Research Centres and Institutes: Applied Macroeconomics, Birkbeck Centre for
    Depositing User: Pedro Gomes
    Date Deposited: 12 Oct 2017 09:09
    Last Modified: 02 Aug 2023 17:36
    URI: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/20034

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