Boogert, Alexander and Dupont, D. (2007) When supply meets demand: the case of hourly spot electricity prices. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
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Abstract
We use a supply-demand framework to model the hourly day-ahead spot price of electricity based on publicly available information. With the model we can forecast the level and the probability of a spike in the spot price defined as the spot price being above a certain threshold. Several European countries have recently started publishing day-ahead forecasts of the available supply. In this paper we show potential uses of such indicators and test their forecasting power in an hourly spot price model. We conclude that a forecast of the available supply can be part of a useful indicator and discuss ways to further improve the forecasts.
Metadata
| Item Type: | Monograph (Working Paper) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | BWPEF 0707 |
| School: | Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School |
| Depositing User: | Administrator |
| Date Deposited: | 26 Mar 2019 15:42 |
| Last Modified: | 02 Aug 2023 17:50 |
| URI: | https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/26909 |
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