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The Phillips Curve, the persistence of inflation and the Lucas Critique

Alogoskoufis, G. and Smith, Ron P. (1991) The Phillips Curve, the persistence of inflation and the Lucas Critique. American Economic Review 81 (5), pp. 1254-1275. ISSN 0002-8282.

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Abstract

The authors present evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom that the persistence of price inflation is significantly higher under managed-exchange-rate regimes than under gold-based, fixed-exchange-rate regimes. These differences are also reflected in expectations-augmented Phillips curves. The authors use a two-country macro model, with forward-looking price setters, to demonstrate that higher monetary accommodation of inflation and exchange-rate accommodation of inflation differentials increase inflation persistence. The evidence does not contradict this hypothesis. It supports the hypothesis of forward-looking price setters and highlights the empirical significance of the Lucas critique.

Metadata

Item Type: Article
School: Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
Depositing User: Sarah Hall
Date Deposited: 31 Aug 2020 18:54
Last Modified: 02 Aug 2023 18:03
URI: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/40690

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