Evaluating the persistence and structuralist theories of unemployment from a nonlinear perspective

Coakley, Jerry and Fuertes, A.-M. and Zoega, Gylfi (2001) Evaluating the persistence and structuralist theories of unemployment from a nonlinear perspective. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics 5 (3), pp. 179-202. ISSN 1558-3708.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.2202/1558-3708.1078

Abstract

This paper assesses empirically two competing unemployment theories. It identifies one structural break in U.K. and German unemployment around 1980 that is more severe in both absolute and relative terms than that for the United States in 1973. This offers support for the structuralist theory. A nonlinear (TAR) model is used to capture fast-up, slow-down unemployment dynamics. Impulse response functions suggest that the half-lives of shocks are longer in the postbreak subsamples, especially in Europe, which places the persistence theory closer to the mark. We conclude that elements from both theories are needed for an adequate account of unemployment dynamics.

Metadata

Item Type:	Article
School:	Birkbeck Faculties and Schools > Faculty of Business and Law > Birkbeck Business School
Depositing User:	Sarah Hall
Date Deposited:	08 Dec 2020 10:39
Last Modified:	02 Aug 2023 18:06
URI:	https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/42017

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