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2000
Smith, Ron P. and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2000) The prisoner's dilemma and regime-switching in the Greek-Turkish arms race. Journal of Peace Research 37 (6), pp. 737-750. ISSN 0022-3433.
2001
Spagnolo, F. and Sola, M. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2001) A simple procedure for detecting periodically collapsing rational bubbles. Economics Letters 72 (3), pp. 317-323. ISSN 0165-1765.
2004
Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2004) On markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends. Journal of Applied Econometrics 19 (1), pp. 69-88. ISSN 0883-7252.
2005
Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2005) Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes. Journal of Forecasting 24 (2), pp. 119-138. ISSN 0277-6693.
Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. (2005) Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov-switching model and instrumental variables. Journal of Applied Econometrics 20 (3), pp. 423-437. ISSN 0883-7252.
December 2007
Dueker, M.J. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2007) Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting. Journal of Econometrics 141 (2), 517 - 547. ISSN 0304-4076.
March 2009
Driffill, John and Kenc, T. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2009) The effects of different parameterizations of Markov-switching in a CIR model of bond pricing. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 13 (1), ISSN 1081-1826.
July 2009
Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. and Spagnolo, N. (2009) Selecting nonlinear time series models using information criteria. Journal of Time Series Analysis 30 (4), pp. 369-394. ISSN 0143-9782.
February 2011
Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Multivariate contemporaneous-threshold autoregressive models☆. Journal of Econometrics 160 (2), pp. 311-325. ISSN 0304-4076.
March 2011
Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Contemporaneous-threshold smooth transition GARCH models. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 15 (2), ISSN 1081-1826.
December 2013
Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2013) State-dependent threshold smooth transition autoregressive models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 75 (6), pp. 835-854. ISSN 0305-9049.
July 2014
Hevia, C. and Gonzalez-Rozada, M. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2014) Estimating and forecasting the yield curve using a Markov Switching Dynamic Nelson and Siegel Model. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
September 2015
Hevia, C. and Gonzalez-Rozada, M. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2015) Estimating and forecasting the yield curve using a Markov switching dynamic Nelson and Siegel model. Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (6), pp. 987-1009. ISSN 0883-7252.