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Hevia, C. and Gonzalez-Rozada, M. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2015) Estimating and forecasting the yield curve using a Markov switching dynamic Nelson and Siegel model. Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (6), pp. 987-1009. ISSN 0883-7252.

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2013) State-dependent threshold smooth transition autoregressive models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 75 (6), pp. 835-854. ISSN 0305-9049.

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Contemporaneous-threshold smooth transition GARCH models. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 15 (2), ISSN 1081-1826.

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Multivariate contemporaneous-threshold autoregressive models☆. Journal of Econometrics 160 (2), pp. 311-325. ISSN 0304-4076.

Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. and Spagnolo, N. (2009) Selecting nonlinear time series models using information criteria. Journal of Time Series Analysis 30 (4), pp. 369-394. ISSN 0143-9782.

Driffill, John and Kenc, T. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2009) The effects of different parameterizations of Markov-switching in a CIR model of bond pricing. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 13 (1), ISSN 1081-1826.

Dueker, M.J. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2007) Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting. Journal of Econometrics 141 (2), 517 - 547. ISSN 0304-4076.

Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2005) Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes. Journal of Forecasting 24 (2), pp. 119-138. ISSN 0277-6693.

Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. (2005) Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov-switching model and instrumental variables. Journal of Applied Econometrics 20 (3), pp. 423-437. ISSN 0883-7252.

Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2004) On markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends. Journal of Applied Econometrics 19 (1), pp. 69-88. ISSN 0883-7252.

Spagnolo, F. and Sola, M. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2001) A simple procedure for detecting periodically collapsing rational bubbles. Economics Letters 72 (3), pp. 317-323. ISSN 0165-1765.

Smith, Ron P. and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2000) The prisoner's dilemma and regime-switching in the Greek-Turkish arms race. Journal of Peace Research 37 (6), pp. 737-750. ISSN 0022-3433.

Monograph

Hevia, C. and Gonzalez-Rozada, M. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2014) Estimating and forecasting the yield curve using a Markov Switching Dynamic Nelson and Siegel Model. Working Paper. Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.