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Economics Letters

Spagnolo, F. and Sola, M. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2001) A simple procedure for detecting periodically collapsing rational bubbles. Economics Letters 72 (3), pp. 317-323. ISSN 0165-1765.

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Hevia, C. and Gonzalez-Rozada, M. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2015) Estimating and forecasting the yield curve using a Markov switching dynamic Nelson and Siegel model. Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (6), pp. 987-1009. ISSN 0883-7252.

Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. (2005) Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov-switching model and instrumental variables. Journal of Applied Econometrics 20 (3), pp. 423-437. ISSN 0883-7252.

Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2004) On markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends. Journal of Applied Econometrics 19 (1), pp. 69-88. ISSN 0883-7252.

Journal of Econometrics

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Multivariate contemporaneous-threshold autoregressive models☆. Journal of Econometrics 160 (2), pp. 311-325. ISSN 0304-4076.

Dueker, M.J. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2007) Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting. Journal of Econometrics 141 (2), 517 - 547. ISSN 0304-4076.

Journal of Forecasting

Spagnolo, F. and Psaradakis, Zacharias (2005) Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes. Journal of Forecasting 24 (2), pp. 119-138. ISSN 0277-6693.

Journal of Peace Research

Smith, Ron P. and Sola, M. and Spagnolo, F. (2000) The prisoner's dilemma and regime-switching in the Greek-Turkish arms race. Journal of Peace Research 37 (6), pp. 737-750. ISSN 0022-3433.

Journal of Time Series Analysis

Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. and Spagnolo, N. (2009) Selecting nonlinear time series models using information criteria. Journal of Time Series Analysis 30 (4), pp. 369-394. ISSN 0143-9782.

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2013) State-dependent threshold smooth transition autoregressive models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 75 (6), pp. 835-854. ISSN 0305-9049.

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics

Dueker, M.J. and Psaradakis, Zacharias and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2011) Contemporaneous-threshold smooth transition GARCH models. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 15 (2), ISSN 1081-1826.

Driffill, John and Kenc, T. and Sola, Martin and Spagnolo, F. (2009) The effects of different parameterizations of Markov-switching in a CIR model of bond pricing. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 13 (1), ISSN 1081-1826.